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SMM May 11th:
Copper: Today, the copper opened at 5509.5 US dollars / ton. After the opening, the copper was first detected as low as 5491.5 US dollars / ton, from the low level to the upper of the daily average, relying on the daily average volatility at 5,519 US dollars / ton, afternoon, the Chinese central bank today Inquiries on the medium-term loan facilitation (MLF) operation will start the MLF operation tomorrow. As a result, the bulk commodities will rebound collectively, and the copper will rise rapidly. After breaking through the 5-day moving average, it will touch up to 5627.5 US dollars/ton, and then Under the pressure of the 10-day moving average, the callback was as follows: as of 17:07, Luneng reported 5611.5 US dollars / ton, crude oil dollar index reported 99.595, today's copper rebounded sharply, the expectation of liquidity tension temporarily eased, but did not break through the original interval, evening Concerned about the Bank of England interest rate decision, as well as the United States April PP I ring ratio and other data, concerned about the effective breakthrough of the 10-day moving average.
Today, the Shanghai main copper 1707 contract opened at 44,810 yuan / ton, after the opening, Shanghai copper slightly fell to 44,680 yuan / ton, and then boosted by the news of the Cerro Colorador miners' strike, copper prices stopped by the short position Rebound to the top of the daily average, rising to 45,000 yuan / ton integer near the mark, a small correction, back to the daily average line to obtain support, with the collective rise of A shares and commodities, Shanghai copper longs have increased their positions, empty heads Out of the warehouse, the price of copper rose to 45,330 yuan / ton, to 45270 yuan / ton to the Dayang line, up 320 yuan / ton, Masukura 3,764 to 201,000 hands, the volume increased by 75,188 hands to 259,000 hands, Shanghai The copper index was reduced by 3,274 lots to 594,338 lots. Today's Shanghai copper rebounded, the market atmosphere was active, and the copper price trend was firm. Try to make up after the night or gap.
Today's Shanghai electrolytic copper spot on the current month contract rose 30 yuan / ton - up 60 yuan / ton, flat water copper transaction price 48820 yuan / ton - 44940 yuan / ton, premium copper transaction price 44830 yuan / ton - 44760 yuan / ton. The Shanghai copper market is still flat, and the copper market is still stalemate. The early morning quotation of the holders is very early. The supply is abundant all day, the price is difficult, the physical consumption is still difficult to see, the inquiry atmosphere is also weakened, and the speculators lack space and speculation. Most of them are mainly short-term and fast-moving transactions, the transaction volume is significantly reduced, and the activity is greatly reduced. In the afternoon, the disk pulled up to break 45,000 yuan / ton, the holders' willingness to change their cash, the spot premium was loose, but the market sent goods with cautious sentiment, lack of interest, quoted Pingshui copper newspaper premium 20 yuan / ton - premium 30 yuan / ton, Good copper around 50 yuan / ton of premium, the transaction price increased by 44880-45050 yuan / ton.
Aluminum: Lun aluminum opened at 1869 US dollars / ton in the morning, the Asian plate of Lun aluminum around the daily average line of 1867 US dollars / ton in a narrow line, in the afternoon by the domestic market boost, Lun aluminum ups and downs, into the European trading hours, aluminum Although the price trend has been repeated, but the focus of the transaction is still steadily moving up, as of 18:45 Lun aluminum reported 1888 US dollars / ton, Lun aluminum is expected to continue to try to rise in the evening, but need to pay attention to whether it can continue to stabilize the 5-day moving average.
In the morning, Shanghai Aluminum 1707 contract opened at 13,805 yuan / ton. At the beginning of the trading session, Shanghai Aluminum went out of deep V, and the low level touched 13,685 yuan / ton. Then the narrow range fluctuated below the daily average, that is, the afternoon news. The MLF operation will be carried out, and the situation of continued funding tension may be eased. As a result, the stock market, basic metals and black products have risen. Shanghai Aluminum has also been boosted by 13860 yuan/ton, and closed at 13,845 yuan/ton. Recorded a longer lower shadow line, the volume increased to 229,888 hands, the position increased by 12,360 hands to 261,936 hands. The short-term Shanghai aluminum shock view remains, and Shanghai Aluminum is expected to continue to try to break the 5-day moving average resistance at night.
In terms of spot, aluminum futures rebounded at the end of the month, Shanghai spot transaction concentrated 13710-13730 yuan / ton, 20 water to flat water for the month, Wuxi spot transaction 13690-13720 yuan / ton, Hangzhou spot transaction 13720-13730 yuan / ton, The smelter has a strong willingness to price. After increasing the aluminum water output ratio, the actual ingot volume is reduced, resulting in a decline in the output of aluminum ingots and a fall in the inventory of aluminum ingots. Near the change of the month, the monthly spread narrowed to 50 yuan / ton, the downstream actively entered the market after the price stabilized, the overall transaction market conditions are relatively active. In the early afternoon, the market turnover was concentrated at 13,720 yuan / ton, and then the face was raised. The quotation of the holders was basically the same as the aluminum in the month, and there were few transactions.
Lead: In the day, Lun lead opened at 2191.5 US dollars / ton, around the daily average line around the daily average of 2,195 US dollars / ton, was blocked at 2,200 US dollars / ton, in the afternoon, driven by the collective strength of domestic commodities, the price broke through the 10-day moving average pressure , touched high 2,219 US dollars / ton. As of 17:31, Lun lead reported $2,203/ton. Lun lead rushed to above the 2,200 US dollars / ton mark, below the 2,180 US dollars / ton to seek effective support, short-term or continue to maintain range volatility, continuous overshoot resistance.
In the day, the Shanghai main lead 1706 contract opened at 16,175 yuan / ton, shocked up, in the afternoon, driven by other metals, the high level of 16,425 yuan / ton, the tail fell slightly, and finally closed at 16,340 yuan / ton. The main force of Shanghai Lead is currently standing on the 20-day moving average. The 5, 10, and 20-day moving averages are stuck below, and the support is still acceptable. However, the downstream consumption is sluggish, and the overall situation is short-term or maintains a volatile pattern. In terms of warehouse volume, the daily trading volume decreased by 1,530 lots to 65,074 lots, and the positions decreased by 1,292 lots to 45,568 lots.
Shanghai market Chihong lead 16220 yuan / ton, on the 1706 contract posted 60 yuan / ton offer, no transaction; Hengbang lead 16165 yuan / ton, 1707 contract premium 200 yuan / ton offer; Hanjiang lead reported 16065 yuan / ton For the 1707 contract, the discount is 300 yuan / ton. The period was wide and fluctuating, and the holders were quoting normally. However, due to the off-season factors, the procurement enthusiasm was not high, and the overall transaction was general.
Guangdong market Jinhai lead reported 16,075 yuan / ton, the average price of SMM is 50 yuan / ton, no transaction. Holders quotation as usual, but some of the downstream due to low consumption, finished goods inventory remained high, the funding side tightened, lead purchases relative reduction, market transactions were light.
The mainstream delivery brand manufacturers in Henan Province offer 15850-15950 yuan/ton, and the average price of SMM is 150-260 yuan/ton. The transaction is mainly based on long orders, and there is no transaction for the single order. Downstream demand continues to be sluggish, coupled with the competition of recycled lead for primary lead, the impact of refinery production restrictions on lead supply is not obvious. The two brands of Jiangxi lead have not been released; Anhui Tongguan lead 16200 yuan / ton, no transaction; Hunan silver star lead price 16025 yuan / ton, SMM average price discount 100 yuan / ton; refinery normal offer, but Downstream due to the early inventory has not been digested, more wait and see less, the market turnover is light.
Zinc: Today, the zinc is opened at 2,600 US dollars / ton. After the opening of the zinc, the zinc is around the moving average of 2,600 yuan / ton. After that, the zinc is punctured and the average is rushed to the vicinity of 2615 US dollars / ton, and the zinc is opened in the afternoon. A wave of upswings, once again into the European period, rose to around $2,645/ton. As of 16:30, Lun Zinc showed no signs of weakness, reported 2,642 US dollars / ton, up 40 US dollars / ton, an increase of 1.54%. Zinelon Zinc runs quite strong, recording a big Yangxian line. It is expected that Zinc Zinc will still run on the current platform at night, and it will be dominated by strong shocks.
Today, Shanghai zinc main 1707 contract opened at 21,590 yuan / ton, at the beginning of the plate, Shanghai zinc pressure under the moving average at 21,580 yuan / ton near the finishing operation. Subsequently, the short position took the warehouse to flee, driving the zinc price to break northward, and the uptrend eased around 21,720 yuan/ton and then oscillated. In the afternoon, Shanghai Zinc fluctuated around 21,740 yuan / ton, but the trend is good. Then the inflow of long positions, once again led the zinc price to rise to around 2,1900 yuan / ton. The end of the market is still strong, closing at 21,945 yuan / ton, up 245 yuan / ton, an increase of 1.13%. In terms of warehouse volume, the volume of transactions increased by 103,000 to 381,000 contracts, and the volume of positions increased by 7076 to 277,000 contracts. After the Shanghai-Shanghai zinc punctured the moving average, the operation was quite strong, and the center of gravity gradually rose. It stood on the upper middle of the Brin Road and recorded a shadow line. On the 5th, 10th, and 20th, the average moving average is technically supported. In the evening, Shanghai Zinc is expected to test the 22,000 yuan/ton mark, but the integer mark still needs to be tested repeatedly.
The current Shanghai 0# zinc mainstream traded at 22080-22330 yuan / ton, the Shanghai zinc 1706 contract premium 240 ~ 380 yuan / ton. 1# Zinc mainstream traded around 22040-22170 yuan / ton. During the first trading session, Shanghai Zinc 1706 Shanghai zinc futures center was lower, located at 2,1800 yuan / ton, traders exchanged long orders, the transaction was active; the second trading session, the center of gravity was raised to 21,950 yuan / ton, the transaction Turn to be static. Due to the lack of optimism in downstream consumption and the fact that the premium is relatively strong, it is difficult for some refineries to ship in the near future. The trading activities of traders mainly come from long orders, and the downstream is afraid of high zinc prices. Today, the supply of the Shuangyan market has not eased, and its premium for June has risen to 380-litre 390 yuan/ton, up from around 20 yuan/ton yesterday.
Today, Guangdong 0# zinc mainstream traded at 22250-22280 yuan / ton, to 1706 contract premium 270-300 yuan / ton, the premium is basically the same as yesterday. The city of Guangdong has a premium of 20-30 yuan/ton to the Shanghai stock market (except for the Shuangyan brand). After the Shanghai zinc 1706 contract opened, it oscillated and strengthened, consolidating around 2,1920 yuan / ton. Some refineries overhaul, the shipments are small, so that the market supply is tight, the holders are mainly shipping, but the offer is firm, the transaction is general. Downstream dips, the wait-and-see mood dominates. The overall market is mostly contributed by traders, and the overall transaction is no different from yesterday. 0# Danxia, ​​Tiefeng, Kirin mainstream transactions at 22250-22280 yuan / ton.
Today, Tianjin market 0# zinc ingot mainstream turnover in 22150-23180 yuan / ton, 0 # ordinary brand mainstream turnover in 22150-22200 yuan / ton, 1706 contract premium 250-270 yuan / ton, the premium is basically the same as the Shanghai stock market. The price of zinc has stabilized and the refinery's shipments have increased. The downstream has just purchased, due to limited consumption and less delivery. The overall transaction was flat yesterday. 0# Zijin, Hung Hom, Chi Hong sold at 22150-22200 yuan / ton, 1 #紫金, 红烨, Chi Hong sold at 22100-22150 yuan / ton.
Tin: Today's macro aspect is mainly that the People's Bank of China will inquire about financial institutions from MLF today and will operate tomorrow. After the news, the three major markets of Chinese debt merchants rose strongly. The Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets rose sharply in the near future and closed higher. The color was driven to rise sharply. Today's morning market, Lunxi opened at 19,690 US dollars / ton, steadily raised to 19,750 US dollars / ton during the day, into the European period, and then climbed up to 19,810 US dollars / ton, the next 20-day moving average support, the upper 10 day moving average has resistance, expected in the evening Will continue to try to break through the 10-day line.
Last night, Shanghai Tin 1709 contract opened at 141,510 yuan and rushed to 141,870 yuan. Then the short position Masukura price fell rapidly to 141,000 yuan, and the pressure average continued to weaken to a minimum of 14,050 yuan. Shanghai Futures Tin 1709 contract opened at 140,490 yuan in early trading today, then it was up to 141,500 yuan to be blocked. The shock was running, and the intraday trading fell below the support of the moving average. However, the support above the 140,000 yuan was obvious, and the overall strength of the end of the market was strong. During the period, the tin bulls followed suit, pushing up to 142,250 yuan, and the highest level in the day, closing at 142,250 yuan / ton, up 450 yuan / ton, or 0.32%. Positions increased by 484 lots to 13,986 lots, and the volume increased by 4,240 lots to 17,502 lots. On the 5-day moving average of Shanghai-Shenzhen Station, it broke through the 10-day moving average of 10 days. It is expected to stand at 141,000 yuan/ton in the evening and continue to accumulate energy, waiting for an effective breakthrough in the nearby platform of 142,500 yuan.
In the spot market, the disk was weak and volatile this morning. The spot supply increased, and the overall transaction was general, but the high-priced supply was difficult to deal with. Although the futures are rising, but the spot consumption is weak, the market is difficult to follow up. It is expected that the spot upside is limited and still maintains at 139,500-14,1000 yuan/ton.
Nickel: Today, the nickel plate was opened at 9140 US dollars / ton. At the beginning of the session, the double-focus led the decline. The nickel was slightly down to $9090/ton and then pumped back. At 9190 USD/ton, it was blocked and maintained a narrow range. In the afternoon, US crude oil futures fluctuated upwards, with an intraday high of $48.62 per barrel, A-shares turned red, and basic metals strengthened across the board. Lun Nickel rose sharply and entered European time, further pushing up to $9385/ton, as of 17:30. At $9,325/ton, it rose by $180/ton, or 1.95%. Close to the lower line of the Zhongyang line, the physical range runs through the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average. The 5-day trend is upward, and the nickel is likely to fluctuate at night, continuing to touch the 20-day moving average.
Today, Shanghai's main nickel 1709 opened at 75,900 yuan / ton in early trading. At the beginning of the trading session, the long position profited and closed. Shanghai nickel dropped to 75,510 yuan / ton and then stopped falling. The central bank opened its first net on the 6th, and today the net market has a net investment of 20 billion yuan. The liquidity of the capital market increased, the bears were cautious, and the positions were closed. Shanghai nickel showed a step-up rise. In the afternoon, the rebound of the black system represented by the thread increased, and the Shanghai nickel plate turned red from green to close at 77,130 yuan/ton. Throughout the day, Shanghai Nickel closed at the lower shadow line, up 270 yuan / ton from the previous trading day, or 0.35%, the volume increased by 81,100 hands to 468,000 hands, and the position decreased by 5,918 hands to 555,000 hands. Shanghai nickel technology is good for the top, testing the 10-day moving average above, focusing on the US PPI in April and the initial jobless claims in the week of May 6. It is expected that Shanghai nickel will fluctuate at night.
Shanghai stock market, SMM 1# electrolytic nickel 74300-77500 yuan / ton. After overnight nickel fell, it recovered some of the decline this morning. In the morning, Jinchuan Nickel was 2,200 yuan/ton higher than Wuxi's main contract of 1706. Jinchuan Company lowered the price of Shanghai area to 77,700 yuan/ton, slightly higher than the market price. Weak, the transaction is weak. Russian nickel is worth 700 yuan/ton compared with Wuxi 1706 contract, and a small amount of discounted water is 750 yuan/ton. The disk fluctuates greatly. Some downstream wait-and-see attitudes are relatively strong. The transaction is general. The mainstream transaction interval in the morning is 74300~77600 yuan/ton. In the afternoon, nickel rebounded, Jinchuan nickel rose to 1900-2000 yuan / ton, Russia nickel discounted water has no obvious changes, the downstream willing to take goods is low, traders have received goods, the transaction range of 75,000 ~ 77,000 yuan / ton.
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